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Marathon Time Predictor

Predict your marathon or half marathon finish time based on a recent race result using the Riegel formula.

Predicted Race Times

The Riegel Formula predicts race times based on a known performance at another distance:

T₂ = T₁ × (D₂ / D₁)^1.06

Where:

  • T₁ = your known race time
  • D₁ = the distance of your known race
  • D₂ = the target race distance
  • 1.06 = the fatigue factor (accounts for slowing over longer distances)

Standard race distances:

  • 5K = 3.1 miles (5 km)
  • 10K = 6.2 miles (10 km)
  • Half Marathon = 13.1 miles (21.1 km)
  • Marathon = 26.2 miles (42.2 km)

Example: A 25:00 5K predicts approximately a 1:56 half marathon and a 4:03 marathon.

Note: The Riegel formula assumes similar training and conditions. Proper marathon-specific training (long runs, fueling strategy) significantly affects actual performance.


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